ÁREA: 06. Strategy and Organizational Engineering

RESUMO:
Scenario building and multicriteria methods contribute to strategic planning and support decision-makers. There are several approaches and many applications in different areas. This paper presents the results of a bibliographic research on prospective scenarios and multicriteria decision aid, providing a descriptive overview of scientific production of both themes. A bibliometric study was performed on the Scopus library database in February 2020, in order to identify the distribution of papers by year of publication, journals, keyword clusters, authors and authors? H-index, affiliation, country / territory, fields of knowledge and language. The VOSviewer software was used to provide visualizations of the network and the density of keywords and authors. The search found 197 papers on prospective scenarios and 265 papers on multicriteria decision aid. Publications on prospective scenarios began in 1982 and publications on multicriteria decision aid began in 1986. Eight areas concentrate at least 80% of the research. No journal and no author are major references.

PALAVRAS-CHAVE:
prospective scenarios, multicriteria methods, strategic planning, decision making.



DOI: 10.14488/ijcieom2020_full_0006_37398

AUTORES:

ADRIANA MANZOLILLO SANSEVERINO
UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL FLUMINENSE (UFF)

CARLOS FRANCISCO SIMÕES GOMES
FLUMINENSE FEDERAL UNIVERSITY

MARA REGINA DOS SANTOS BARCELOS
UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL FLUMINENSE (UFF)

IGOR PINHEIRO DE ARAÚJO COSTA
UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL FLUMINENSE (UFF)

MARCOS DOS SANTOS
BRAZILIAN NAVY